🏈 2024 SUPERBOWL: KC vs SF

Article Update:

• Edge Added
• ATTD Added Below Kelce
• Prop Look added: Isiah Pacheco

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Articles are subject to frequent updates. Updates can include new trends, stats, injuries worth noting, and steam movements. Forecasts can change daily depending on line movement and sharp action coming in. Personal bets are not always based on model projections.

⭐️ ⭐️⭐️EDGES⭐️⭐️⭐

⭐️KC/SF U47 (-110)

📝ARTICLES

Public on KC as expected, RLM/big money on SF, looks like you can possibly get a better number on KC closer to kickoff. This postseason, KC is moving the ball with ease, they unleashed Kelce, and BAL didn’t get a stop until late 2nd quarter and they may have scored 30+ had they not failed to convert on a 4th down in BAL’s redzone. As disciplined and talented as they are, it’s hard to imagine SF’s defense figure out how to completeley stop the Chiefs, SF have been vulnerable this post season, and it never ceases to amaze me how unpredictable KC can be, pre motions, screens, nobody can really prepare for that especially when MVS comes out of nowhere and starts catching deep passes. Pacheco is a menace, and has undeniably been the engine to this offense, he’s a YAContact monster, and has been finding all the right holes (pause), expect him to find soft spot, and keep these drives moving. SF has a really good run game and should continue to give McCaffrey a shit ton of carries, 2019 SF RB’s totaled 24+ carries, if they were to learn one thing it’s don’t give Mahomes the ball, expect McCaffrey to get 20+ here again, and do what BAL should have done.KC pass defense is well rested, and their top 5 pass rush will get to Purdy, big pressure on his shoulders in his first SB, don’t expect many explosive plays downfield have a lot of success, CMac and Pacheco can and will be leaned on here.

PROP LOOKS

TRAVIS KELCE ATTD (+105)

• 11 TD’s in each of L12 playoff games where Mahomes threw 2+ TD’s (SDQL Below)
• Mahomes has thrown 2+TD’s in 2/3 SuperBowls
• Matchup Proof, Elite defenders couldn’t slow down Kelce in BAL
• 8 TD’s in each of L10 Playoff Games

SDQL:

Deebo Samuel ATTD (+175, MGM)

Deebo will be healthier, and isn’t as much of a deep threat that Aiyuk is, and why I like him to score here, KC has been sharp guarding big plays, and Aiyuk should get a lot more of Sneed. KC’s run defense has stepped up in the post season, limiting BAL to their first game under 100 rushing yards all season, and could give trouble to McCaffrey. With weeks of game planning expect SF to a bit smarter, and scheme/motion Deebo so he can make something happen with his YAC ability. Fly by those linebackers Deebo!

ISIAH PACHECO LONGEST RUSH o15.5 (-110)

As mentioned before I.P. is KC’s engine, he’s averaging 18+rushes in the playoffs, when he receives 15 + carries, he’s hitting o15.5 at a 80% hit rate L5. He’s been running with bad intentions, he’s going to keep that fire in the biggest match of his life… again. KC’s king at setting up 3rd and manageable, and top 5 in efficiency on late down runs.

• O15.5 in 4/L6 PO appearances
• Since week 14, 6/L6 opponents had a rusher rush o15.5 rushing yards vs SF, not including week 18 (see SDQL below)

💻BETLABS ACTIVITY

*there may not always be “VALUE” in these spots. These systems are trends and not exactly “predictive” of any results. Ideally we want systems, to align with dashboard (computer picks) and betting markets.

📈 RANDOM ASS TRENDS

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SF is 9–1 to the Under off a Bye week. PLAY ON: KC/SF U47.5

SB Winners that made it back 4 years after regardless if they made it back before that are 3–0 to the Under. PLAY ON: KC/SF U47.5